All-in CAPEX range
C$ 350 550 M
Midpoint C$450 M · C$7,000–11,000 / bpd
AACE Class 5 · ±40–50% · 2026 CAD
ISBL process unit
C$ 123 248 M
~35–45% of total project
All-in processing cost
C$ 6.5 9.0 /bbl
OPEX + capital recovery
Build vs buy signal
Favour buy Marginal Favour build
Need ~C$6–9/bbl light-diluent premium to justify

Process configuration

Two-cut diluent splitter · ~50/50 volumetric cut on CRW

25.0 kb/d light 25.0 kb/d heavy
CRW Feed 50,000 bpd Stabilizer Depent. Splitter Naphtha Kero Gas oil Light cut ~68–75 °API Heavy cut ~45–50 °API Heater Cut @ C8/C9 · ~145°C

CAPEX breakdown

ISBL vs tankage / utilities / offsites / owner’s costs

ISBL
Tankage
Utilities
Owner’s

Unit cost vs capacity

Economy of scale · six-tenths rule on process share

Benchmark comparison

Escalated 2026 CAD · before / after Alberta factor

Unit economics waterfall

C$/bbl at selected capacity & utilization

What drives the number

From the Aug 2026 Alberta benchmarking study

Process unit is the minority

Magellan disclosed ~65% of spend was terminal infrastructure. ISBL is only ~35–45% of all-in CAPEX.

Two-cut is the base case

Single column + stabilizer + VRU at C$7–11k/bpd. Multi-cut only if naphtha/middle-distillate outlets justify +C$200–300M.

Economics are usually marginal

All-in processing ~C$6–9/bbl often exceeds the light-cut premium on already-light CRW (~58 °API).

Build only with commercial cover

Captive denser feed + firm light-cut offtake + heavy home — ideally long-term take-or-pay tolling.